Whilst the Tories lead in the opinion polls has been pulled back in recent months and the PM's ratings show an upward trend, it is easy to miss support for the Lib Dems falling.
With the popular Charles Kennedy and the lacklustre Ming Campbell consigned to the political dustbin, for how much longer will LD MPs continue to support the invisible Nick Clegg - especially with the one star (Vince Cable)in their midst. Southern Lib Dem MPs will be especially concerned given the Tory poll ratings.
As I said in May the LDs have peaked in Warrington and missed their one opportunity to gain outright control of the council. Expect Lib Dem casualties in May 2010 with a rejuvenated Tory party in Warrington South and Labour gains in the North.
Monday, 24 November 2008
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